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Market Analysis

  • The main risks for 2018

    The main risks for 2018

    Optimism is a word that is much more at comfort going into 2018 than it ever was in 2017; growth is a constant almost globally, and deflation is off the vocabulary. Europe is forcing its way ahead, China hasn’t collapsed yet and the United States...

  • Credit market wrap 2017

    Credit market wrap 2017

    In 2017, market participants were faced with several dilemmas on whether the credit market will uphold the generosity it offered to investors over the past couple of years. Indeed, this uncertainty was mainly brought about by the wave of monetary...

  • Countdown to Mifid II (Version 1)

    Countdown to Mifid II (Version 1)

    Mifid II is an overhaul of the Markets in Financial Instruments Directive, and has been designed in such a way so as to offer enhanced protection for investors as well as instil greater transparency into the way financial markets operate, across...

  • The wealthiest investors in 2017

    The wealthiest investors in 2017

    It is Christmas time, research slows down, markets are calmer and trading volumes decrease at a rate inversely proportional to the rate of consumption of alcohol. At least that is how it is supposed to work. What is plainly clear is that from now...

  • Emerging markets- an opportunity or a threat?

    Emerging markets- an opportunity or a threat?

    Emerging markets (EM) have over the years offered very generous returns to investors, despite the fact that the sensitivity to both commodities and the movement in the dollar currency have always been seen as a threat to the said regions. I recall...

  • Seismic shifts in global influence?

    Seismic shifts in global influence?

    With a few notable exceptions, namely North Korea, China, Saudi Arabia and a few others, people have the power to approve or disapprove of the management of their country through their vote. Therefore I find it difficult to dissociate the current...

  • Déjà vu: Venezuela announces need to restructure

    Déjà vu: Venezuela announces need to restructure

    This year, specifically on August 11, I had pointed out the challenges that the government of Venezuela was facing in terms of its finances. In my concluding remarks, I had also specifically stressed the point that debt repayments were more...

  • Diversification, negative correlation and over-diversification

    Diversification, negative correlation and over-diversification

    Let me get straight to the point. While no-one can credibly contest the merits of diversification in an investment portfolio, it is all too often that investors end up with a long list of non-performing assets simply in the name of diversification.

  • Reasons why people don’t invest, and solutions

    Reasons why people don’t invest, and solutions

    Even if it is hard to believe, there are many individuals that do not invest their savings to increase their wealth. As I always say, if we do not gain money through time, we are losing it. Inflation is always there to get you. It is important to...

  • Christmas can’t come any sooner for the bond investor

    Christmas can’t come any sooner for the bond investor

    My colleague, a fellow portfolio manager, and I had been monitoring price developments in great detail during the final two weeks of October, and when the final net asset value of the funds we manage were issued late last week, we both looked at...

  • Monsanto: Time to cash in on your profits

    Monsanto: Time to cash in on your profits

    About the company Monsanto Company is a publicly traded American multinational agrochemical and agricultural biotechnology corporation. It is headquartered in Creve Coeur, Greater St. Louis, Missouri. Monsanto is a leading producer of genetically...

  • Common traits for investment success

    Common traits for investment success

    Who doesn’t spend most of their life dreaming of financial success? A few are lucky enough to be successful primarily because they were born into wealth and abundance. But the vast majority of us have to rely on hard work and thought about what...

  • Investment advice for young people

    Investment advice for young people

    Sadly, the researches by multiple experts in the field of investment show that young individuals are less likely to invest in their portfolio. The majority of the young working class (20-35) allocate the largest amount of their portfolio in cash.

  • Should the government interfere in the economy?

    I am sure you heard it before; “If you let the economy do its job you will find yourself in equilibrium, where demand matches supply, and quantity matches price.” After hearing this it is logical to think that government should not interfere in...

  •  What makes an investor successful?

    There have been many textbooks and articles written on what it takes to become a successful investor. There are a number of traits which make some investors more successful than others – for the inexperienced investor, investing requires courage,...

  • Renault – shareholders should remain in the driving seat!

    Groupe Renault is a French multinational automobile manufacturer established in 1899. The company produces a range of cars and vans, and in the past has manufactured trucks, tractors, tanks, buses/coaches and autorail vehicles. Investment ThesisWe...

  • High Yield debt and the coupon clip

    High Yield debt and the coupon clip

    In 2007, all seemed rosy for investors with global markets reaching pre-crisis highs; a golden period whereby investors cheered a rally across all asset classes for quite a while. Whoever thought that those rosy days were up for a turbulent ride?...

  • The Spanish market and Cataluña

    The Spanish market and Cataluña

    The Catalan referendum has been one of the main topics in the international news all over the world, and like it usually happens, the news has been one of the main variables of the market. The big problem is that many of the international news...

  • Adding German equities in a portfolio

    Adding German equities in a portfolio

    Equities have had an excellent run so far this year. But this rally did not start in 2017. Going back to financial crisis in 2008 when the DAX (German market) fell by more than 50%, the Index subsequently rallied 240% from its trough. And even if...

  • China’s economic prospects and the recent S&P downgrade

    China’s economic prospects and the recent S&P downgrade

    Recently S&P, the well-respected rating agency lowered China’s long-term sovereign rating to A+ from AA-, citing that the prolonged period of credit growth imposes risk on the country’s economic growth. One of the reasons for the increase in debt...