Market Analysis
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Market Analysis

  • Markets and the IMF’s growth concerns

    Markets and the IMF’s growth concerns

    The change in tone by leading Central Banks in this week’s monetary updates came as no surprise given the latest downward revision of growth by institutions, such as the International Monetary Fund (IMF). It is a fact that recent figures confirm a...

  • Stagnant global economy?

    Stagnant global economy?

    A false sense of security might come about when liquidity injections and zero interest rate policies disguise risk. Today, the risk is more evident as not only have we seen large downgrades to consensus growth estimates and central banks'...

  • The hottest new industry

    The hottest new industry

    Forget bitcoin or any cryptocurrency, the hottest new industry is mining. No, I am not referring to the mining of precious metals or oil but data. Data harvesting is the fastest growing industry in America according to the Financial Times, an...

  • Give credit to credit

    Give credit to credit

    Following dismal run risky assets endured during 2018, particularly the final quarter of the year, few would have imagined that the situation would have shifted in such a sharp manner as it did in the first three months of 2019. The market...

  • How greed can impact portfolio returns

    How greed can impact portfolio returns

    It might sound strange to older people to know the rate at which money has pretty much become a necessary commodity in everyday life. It is hard to imagine life without money in 2019. Everywhere you look, someone is making money, monetising...

  • Argentina: deeper unavoidable recession?

    Argentina: deeper unavoidable recession?

    Appreciating pressure in January 2019 for the Argentine peso emerged, dropping below the Central Bank’s no-intervention range, encouraging the bank to repurchase hard currency and relax the monetary policy. Meanwhile, their manufacturing sector...

  • What does an inverted yield curve mean?

    What does an inverted yield curve mean?

    An inverted yield curve is an interest rate environment through which longer-term debt instruments have a lower yield than short-term debt instruments of the same credit quality. This type of yield curve is considered to be a predictor of economic...

  • Japan has the biggest Central Bank Bubble

    Japan has the biggest Central Bank Bubble

    Japan's economy was a huge success story in the past, and today the country is wealthy, healthy, and the aging population continues to reap the benefits of such hard work and prosperity. However, in recent decades economic growth has been...

  • Global crude oil influencers

    Crude Oil is one of the world’s most demanded commodity because of its versatility in terms of products. The six most influential countries of the said commodity include the U., Russia, Saudi Arabia, Iran and Iraq, China and Venezuela. United...

  • Rebalancing an investment portfolio

    Rebalancing an investment portfolio

    Portfolio rebalancing refers to the process through which investors periodically reset and realign the weightings of a portfolio comprising of a mix of stocks and bonds, with the main aim to maintain the original desired asset allocation...

  • Understanding how hedged share classes work

    Understanding how hedged share classes work

    Any person working within the funds industry as well as those people whose investment portfolio consists of some allocation, in any shape or form to funds, foreign funds in particular, will note that, over recent years, we have been witnessing a...

  • Valeo - Reducing our recommendation to hold

    Valeo - Reducing our recommendation to hold

    Valeo reported results for 2018; we reduced our stance from a Buy to a Hold and reduced our price target from €40 to €33. Our reduction in stance and price target was brought about for the following reasons: EBIT margins - The company reported an...

  • Around the world: economy forecast

    Around the world: economy forecast

    Recently, 40 major economies were analysed based on inflation and GDP growth, the signs all point to Asia in terms of driving the global economy in 2019. High-growth economies Predominantly located in Asia and making up more than half of the...

  • Investor’s patience pays off as credit spreads tighten

    Investor’s patience pays off as credit spreads tighten

    In my article on February 19 “Investors – be patient yet be humble” I attempted to give the novice investor an intricate synopsis of the way markets operate, in the most simplest of ways, as well as to clearly highlight market dynamics and market...

  • France: wait and see

    France: wait and see

    In France, the last business confidence survey showed that the trend of pessimism that had hit the country in November is finally coming to an end. However, confidence still has to be restored; the current economic mood is closer to a wait-and-see...

  • Why not to currently invest in the banking sector

    Stocks of European banks are currently lagging behind market indices. 2018 saw roughly 300 billion euros in shareholders’ money wiped out across the European banking sector, down 25.8% compared to 11.0% for the wider market. Despite a more...

  • Investors – be patient yet be humble

    Quantifying how important the value of money is in a person’s life is extremely cumbersome to say the least. Furthermore, carrying out a comparative analysis of money on a relative basis between one individual and another, becomes even more...

  • Amazon – Stay in the Game

    Amazon – Stay in the Game

    Amazon reported earnings beat for Q418, but first-quarter revenue guidance fell short of expectations due to increased investments in 2019 and uncertainty surrounding India. India has been a notable challenge for Amazon, and the company wasn’t...

  • Building an investment portfolio: stocks vs bonds

    Building an investment portfolio: stocks vs bonds

    Turmoil in the stock market can put investors on edge. After witnessing recent market turbulence, specifically related to equity international markets, investors are aware that stock prices can plunge as easily as they can soar. However, many...

  • Trade war anxiety

    Trade war anxiety

    At this point, it is to everyone’s knowledge that an ongoing Trade War has been active given how markets were beaten down last year. Even though markets had retreated in January, concern that no trade deal between the US and China may be struck...