Russia may see a balanced budget this year, which puts the country in a better position than other emerging markets to fend off the impact of the US decision to curb its monetary stimulus, Finance Minister Anton Siluanov said yesterday.

Speaking to investors in Hong Kong, Siluanov said that the ministry had penned in a budget deficit of 0.5 per cent of gross domestic product this year, but that its conservative fiscal policy may lead to balanced books.

“I think that this year we may see a deficit-free budget, while at the same time we see rather stable deficits in other emerging markets,” Siluanov said, according to a transcript of his speech.

Siluanov is en route to Sydney for the meeting of finance ministers and central bank governors from the Group of 20 developed and developing nations.

Discussion over US monetary policy will dominate the talks, with emerging nations wanting the Federal Reserve to calibrate its winding down of stimulus so as to mitigate the impact on their economies. Developed members say troubles in the emerging world are mostly homegrown and domestic interest rates have to be set with domestic recoveries in mind.

Siluanov said a balanced budget puts Russia in a decent position to deal with global monetary policies changes.

“The Russian Federation, with its positive balance of payment and a virtually balanced budget, has less felt the changes that were caused by the winding down of the (US) quantitative easing policy,” Siluanov said.

He added that while the rouble had lost around 10 per cent of its value since the beginning of, the currencies of the five most vulnerable emerging markets have lost on average 20 per cent.

The rouble has lost nearly eight per cent against the dollar, according to Reuters estimates. Analysts at VTB Capital estimate that the rouble has been two to three per cent undervalued relative to its EM peers since May of 2013, when talks about quantitative easing tapering began.

Sign up to our free newsletters

Get the best updates straight to your inbox:
Please select at least one mailing list.

You can unsubscribe at any time by clicking the link in the footer of our emails. We use Mailchimp as our marketing platform. By subscribing, you acknowledge that your information will be transferred to Mailchimp for processing.