The shattered shell of Kabul’s Darul Aman Palace bears witness to Afghanistan’s years of brutal civil war, a history many Afghans fear will be renewed when foreign troops leave in 2014.
If I were the President of Afghanistan I would contract with them to stay for 1,000 years- Afghan doctor
Designed by French and German architects in the 1920s as part of a new government quarter, the building’s lion-headed buttresses are broken, its colonnades pockmarked by bullets, the metal sheets of its roof crumpled.
Like tens of thousands of people in the capital, the palace fell victim to the carnage of the early 1990s as rival mujahideen groups fought for power following the fall of a Soviet-backed regime after Moscow withdrew its troops.
With the end of the Nato mission looming in turn, analysts warn that without a sustainable peace deal, Afghanistan could disintegrate into yet another virulent civil war.
Some Afghans are similarly pessimistic. “Every time I look at this building I’m too upset, I can’t say anything,” said Mohammed Gul, 52, who sells drinks and snacks – along with the occasional toy gun – from a stall by the palace. “If this country became good everybody could live in peace. After the Americans go there will be too much fighting,” he said. “Again the wars, again the fighting.”
He had no confidence in the ability of Kabul’s security forces to maintain peace.
“The Afghan police, the army, if there is an explosion or a suicide attack they can’t do anything.”
The US commander on the ground, General John Allen, told Congress last week that he thought a future 230,000-strong Afghan force, scaled down from a planned 352,000, was “the right target given what we think will be the potential enemy scenario for 2017”.
But a security consultant with 10 years’ experience in the country said of the Afghan army and police: “When you see them operating on the ground, their capabilities are pretty dire to be honest.” Even in two years’ time, he said: “It’s pretty unlikely they are going to be able to take care of security operations.”
The pact – still subject to thorny negotiations – would “provide a long-term framework for our bilateral cooperation in the areas of security, economic and social development, and institution building”, he added.
Across the road from the palace, a new Parliament building has only recently started construction after years of delays, symbolising Afghanistan’s slow struggle to achieve any semblance of democratic stability.
Standing by the ruins of the palace – whose name can mean “home of Amanullah”, the king who built it, or “abode of safety” – 30-year-old doctor Cena Durrani is exactly the kind of young professional that Afghanistan needs. But he said he would look to leave when foreign forces do: “I am full of hopelessness.
“If the Americans leave Afghanistan we will be like in 1990 and 1991,” he added, referring to the very worst of the country’s civil war.
“If I were the President of Afghanistan I would contract with them to stay for 1,000 years.”