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Market Analysis

  • 2016 set to add to post-Christmas Blues

    Volatility seems set to linger throughout global markets in 2016 as investors come to terms with a global slowdown. A number of factors and events will take centre stage respectively in the coming year with core focus on the commodities sector of...

  • Oil supply; the new proxy war

    Oil seems to be on every investor’s mind these days, several of whom seem to desire higher oil prices. There is even this strange notion going round that a low oil price is bad; it is bad for the economy, it is bad for growth, it is bad for markets.

  • A bumpy end of year

    The Federal Reserve’s last monetary meeting of this year passed without any surprises but even so, the first rate hike since the 2007-crisis and the comforting tone of Fed’s Yellen was enough to support a short relief rally. Much has been written...

  • Outlook for equity markets in 2016

    Now that 2015 is coming to an end, investors start thinking and planning on how they could make money in 2016. My opinion is to remain overweight European equities an underweight the US. Some people argue that the situation in Europe and the US is...

  • Shipping movements

    These ships are expected in Malta: The Hoheplate from Annaba to Algiers, the Cerinthus from Bejaia to Djen Djen, the AS Mars from Varna to Avcilar, the AS Palatia from Aliaga to Izmir, the CMA CGM Rigoletto from Colombo to Valencia (all CMA CGM...

  • Weak sentiment dictating growth prospects for 2016

    To say that 2015 was a tumultuous year for commodities would be an understatement. The major commodities across an array of sectors which pretty much are synonymous with global trade are heavily in the red in 2015, from the energy and mining...

  • Caution to set the tone ahead of Fed lift-off

    With the ECB having disappointed investors with the QE extension package (but no mention of any expansion) announced on the 6th December, investors now turn to tomorrow’s Federal Reserve (Fed) meeting where interest rates are strongly expected to...

  • The FX markets

    There are three main functions of the FX market, those being: 1) Transfer functions: converting one currency into another. 2) Credit functions: Provides a line of credit to international and national organisations. 3) Hedging function: used so as...

  • ECB meeting post mortem

    ECB meeting post mortem

    Putting it mildly, last week was an anti-climax. We had already planned the victory party all the way to Christmas and stood champagne in hand when Super Mario appeared on screen. The European Central Bank ‘did’ add to the Quantitative Easing...

  • A look back at equity markets in 2015

    A look back at equity markets in 2015

    Looking back at 2015, there were a lot of events during the year that created volatility in equity markets. Below is a list. Quantitative easing in Europe On January 22, the ECB announced quantitative easing in Europe with combined monthly...

  • Draghi disappoints – what next?

    Draghi disappoints – what next?

    Draghi Disappoints – what next? On October 22, Mario Draghi, the president of the European Central Bank, advised markets that he was prepared to cut interest rates and step up quantitative easing to stave off the risk of a renewed economic slump...

  • ECB meeting fails to meet expectations

    In a surprise twist of events, the ECB’s meeting yesterday concluded with measures that failed to rise to markets’ expectations despite Draghi’s reputation of being a central banker that is willing to “do whatever it takes”. This is not to say...

  • Different investments styles

    An investment style is somewhat underestimated nowadays, yet gaining a basic understanding of the major investment styles is one of the fastest ways to make sense out of the thousands of investments available in the market today, and the mere...

  • Shipping movements

    These ships are expected in Malta: The Avonmoor from Tunis to Gemlik (CMA CGM Malta Agency Ltd), the MV Eurocargo Malta from Genoa to Livorno (Sullivan Martime), the MSC Beatrice from Singapore to Barcelona (John Ripard & Son Ltd) and the Seago...

  • Emerging Markets - main drivers of risk-off mode in 2015

    2015 was a challenging year for emerging market (EM) currencies, and 2016 is expected to bring with it some challenges too, albeit many analysts believe that the pace of depreciation will be significantly lower than 2015. The concoction of...

  • December, picking up the pieces and planning for 2016

    December is usually the month where investors and asset managers alike take stock of what happened throughout the year, which investments were the leaders and which were the laggards, what lessons are to be learnt from the year gone by, and how,...

  • Markets gearing up for December

    Markets gearing up for December

    With this month soon due to come to an end, investors are eagerly and anxiously awaiting the December events, most notably the monetary policy meetings of the European and US central banks. Much has been written about these two events and...

  • Short term investment ideas – December 2015

    Short term investment ideas – December 2015

    The most important date for investors in December must be today week, December 3. At its October meeting, the ECB expressed concern on inflation and hinted at further quantitative easing. As a result most market analysts expect further easing to...

  • Why dividends mean more than cash in the bank

    Why dividends mean more than cash in the bank

    Nothing puts a smile on an investors face like an increase in dividends. Dividends are cash distributions that many companies pay out regularly to shareholders from earnings that send a clear message about future prospects and current performance.

  • Terror threats and the Eurozone recovery

    Terror threats and the Eurozone recovery

    Following the Paris terror attacks, equities traditionally sold off across the board, as per the norm following such events, with an influx seen into safe haven bonds. The move was one of panic however and was short lived as equity markets,...

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