The title of today’s article may be surprising to many readers of this weekly column given that my previous article on Bank of Valletta plc a few months ago was titled ‘BOV no longer in immediate need of equity injection’. In November 2016, after the publication of the 2015/16 financial statements, I had quoted the chairman at the time, John Cassar White, who had indicated in a meeting with financial analysts that a capital raising exercise was unlikely to take place in 2017 and may be postponed. This conclusion was derived at a time when the bank had registered good progress from a capital perspective with the Tier 1 ratio rising to 12.8 per cent as at September 30, 2016.
However, in his final speech as chairman of the bank at the annual general meeting on December 16, 2016, Mr Cassar White had acknowledged that the bank required a capital injection between €150 and €200 million over the next three years. He had also made reference to the announcement on November 24, 2016 that the international credit rating agency Fitch Ratings had downgraded BOV to ‘BBB’ from ‘BBB+’. The ex-chairman had explained to shareholders that the rating downgrade reflected the fact that foreign banks with the same credit rating had better capitalisation ratios than BOV.
It is therefore possibly within this context that in last week’s company announcement, which disclosed the financial results for the six-month period to March 31, 2017, BOV confirmed that it is planning to issue €150 million in new share capital “over an approximate one year period”.
During last week’s meeting with financial analysts, the new chairman of BOV, Taddeo Scerri, explained that this capital raising exercise may be conducted in more than one tranche.
A capital raising exercise is normally conducted via a rights issue, which is a new issue of shares to existing shareholders generally at a discount to the market price prevailing at the time. Many banks across Europe have conducted sizeable rights issues over recent months including Unicredit, Deutsche Bank and Credit Suisse. The largest offer was of Italian bank Unicredit who conducted a €13 billion rights issue earlier this year.
Incidentally, Unicredit is the second largest shareholder in BOV with a stake of 14.55 per cent. Hopefully, Unicredit now has sufficient capital and also an appetite to subscribe to their rights issue entitlement in BOV over the next year.
BOV’s largest shareholder is the government of Malta with a holding of 25.23 per cent. Given BOV’s shareholding structure – with two shareholders holding just under 40 per cent of the bank’s issued share capital – one of the key announcements ahead of the final details of the capital raising plans, would be whether these two shareholders would be subscribing to their own rights entitlement, paving the way for a successful capital raising exercise.
This capital raising exercise may be conducted in more than one tranche
Apart from the mention of the capital raising plans, the main purpose of last week’s announcement was the publication of the interim financial statements as at March 31, 2017. During the first six months of their 2016/17 financial year, BOV registered another record financial performance. Pre-tax profits increased by eight per cent to €74 million. However, the financial performance was hugely impacted by the reversal of impairments of €5.3 million (compared to a net charge of €8.1 million in the comparative period) and the significant uplift in the value of insurance associates to €8.9 million.
A closer look at the financials reveals that net interest income declined by three per cent to €72.7 million as the negative interest rate environment is continuing to hurt those banks, including BOV, with high levels of liquidity. In fact, BOV reported that deposits grew by a further €487 million in the past six months to reach €9.7 billion while net lending only increased by €102 million to €4.1 billion. As such, the loan to deposit ratio continued to deteriorate to 42.4 per cent, which is very damaging in the current negative interest rate environment.
Profit on foreign exchange activities was relatively unchanged during the first half of the year. Furthermore, BOV generated only €6.3 million in fair value movements as well as net gains on investment securities in contrast to the €17.3 million generated in the comparable period ended March 31, 2016.
On the other hand, however, it is very positive to note that net fee and commission income advanced by 5.8 per cent to €33.8 million. The increase in this line of business is very important for BOV in the current interest rate environment. BOV attributed this improvement to strong performances in the areas of fund management, fund services, stockbroking and bancassurance.
Some other positive indicators that emerged from last week’s financials were the continued improvement in the Tier 1 ratio to 13.1 per cent and the consistent double digit return on equity, which is not very common among other Maltese banks as well as institutions across the eurozone.
Apart from the final details of the upcoming rights issue, another important announcement that shareholders should look out for is the overall impact from the implementation of a new financial reporting standard (IFRS 9) dealing with the provisioning policy which was endorsed by the EU on November 22, 2016. I had made reference to this in my last article on BOV in November 2016 and in last week’s announcement it was stated that “the adoption of IFRS 9 may have a material impact on the bank’s financial statements”.
Additionally, BOV stated that “the implementation of this new standard is currently underway and the financial impact is to be determined and disclosed within the financial report ending 2017”.
At the last AGM, BOV had announced that it was changing its financial year-end from September to December, so the next financial statements will cover a 15-month period to December 31, 2017 and we therefore expect BOV to publish their financials and make this important announcement on IFRS 9 during the first three months of 2018 – similar to the plans of HSBC Malta.
Meanwhile, shareholders will be pleased to note that the interim dividend improved by almost 24 per cent to a net dividend of €0.0293 per share. This is the highest interim dividend distributed by BOV in the past five years. Many were surprised that BOV is distributing a dividend while over the next year it will be requesting its shareholders to take up an additional €150 million worth of shares in the bank. However, in reply to questions from financial analysts, BOV’s CEO Mario Mallia defended the board’s decision and explained that these two situations may co-exist as it would indeed be very unlikely to see investors take up the new shares if dividends were stopped altogether.
Shareholders should also be pleased with the continuing positive share price performance which touched a high of €2.27 last Friday afternoon following the publication of the financial statements and the declaration of the interim dividend. BOV’s equity is in fact trading at its highest level in over nine years.
Since BOV is the largest company listed on the MSE, both in terms of market capitalisation at over €900 million and in terms of the number of shareholders at over 20,000, the capital raising plans are likely to be one of the most important highlights across the MSE over the next year.
Rizzo, Farrugia & Co. (Stockbrokers) Ltd (Rizzo Farrugia) is a member of the Malta Stock Exchange and licensed by the Malta Financial Services Authority. This report has been prepared in accordance with legal requirements. It has not been disclosed to the company/s herein mentioned before its publication. It is based on public information only and is published solely for informational purposes and is not to be construed as a solicitation or an offer to buy or sell any securities or related financial instruments. The author and other relevant persons may not trade in the securities to which this report relates (other than executing unsolicited client orders) until such time as the recipients of this report have had a reasonable opportunity to act thereon. Rizzo Farrugia, its directors, the author of this report, other employees or Rizzo Farrugia on behalf of its clients, have holdings in the securities herein mentioned and may at any time make purchases and/or sales in them as principal or agent, and may also have other business relationships with the company/s. Stock markets are volatile and subject to fluctuations which cannot be reasonably foreseen. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. Neither Rizzo Farrugia, nor any of its directors or employees accept any liability for any loss or damage arising out of the use of all or any part thereof and no representation or warranty is provided in respect of the reliability of the information contained in this report.
© 2017 Rizzo, Farrugia & Co. (Stockbrokers) Ltd. All rights reserved.