With less than a month to go until Scotland votes on independence, nationalists are seeking to broaden the debate away from a difficult focus on what currency would be used after breaking from the United Kingdom.
Health care and other social issues such as justice and equality are likely to get a bigger airing if pro-independence First Minister Alex Salmond has his way in a second televised debate on August 25.
The question of whether Scotland could keep the pound if it voted on September 18 to leave the United Kingdom has hampered independence campaigners. The British government and Bank of England have both firmly said no.
As a result, uncertainty over the currency dogged the normally fiery Salmond in the first TV debate two weeks ago when he was unexpectedly outshone by the more reserved head of the campaign to keep Scotland in the UK, former finance minister Alistair Darling.
But disappointment over Salmond’s performance following the first debate was pushed aside last weekend when two polls showed the gap in support narrowing with a two-point swing to the independence camp.
An ICM poll had support for independence at 38 per cent versus 47 per cent opposition, while a Panelbase survey put backing for independence at 42 per cent compared to 46 per cent.
The pro-independence vote continues to lag in all major polls, but Salmond has been trying to leverage the latest swing in support by blitzing the media on topics that might sway undecided voters.
He warned, for example, that the publicly funded free health service might be at risk if Scotland stays in the union, but that it could be enshrined in the Constitution of an independent Scotland.
The current devolved Scottish Parliament, led by Salmond’s Scottish National Party (SNP), controls health policy. But Salmond says the dependence of Scotland’s budget on an allowance from politicians in London makes it vulnerable.
We will find it progressively more difficult to keep a health service free at the point of need
“If we stay in our current circumstances ... we will find it progressively more difficult to keep a health service free at the point of need,” Salmond told a public meeting this week at Arbroath on the east coast where Scotland signed a historic declaration of independence in 1320.
British Prime Minister David Cameron, who opposes independence, described the argument as “desperate”, arguing that UK spending on health care had been protected during the term of his coalition government, which came to power in 2010.
Britain’s three major political parties have united against a breakaway Scotland, issuing pleas for unity and warning about the economic costs of independence to the four million Scottish residents over the age of 16 who can vote on September 18.
Oil-rich Scotland accounts for about one-tenth of the UK’s gross domestic product, and opponents of independence fear a split would weaken all sides and could damage British diplomatic clout, even raising questions over the UK’s permanent seat on the UN Security Council.
Salmond, a veteran political campaigner who has driven the SNP to be Scotland’s dominant party, is banking on voter fatigue with the political stalemate over currency to bring new life to the debate in the final weeks before the vote.
The position on the currency has remained unchanged for months, with UK parties ruling out a deal but Salmond insisting they would negotiate if Scotland voted for independence. He has also said no one could stop Scotland using the pound informally.
But while Salmond may be trying to broaden the discussion, the Better Together campaign led by Darling has vowed to continuing pressing him on the issue of the currency.
Darling, a Scot who served as a finance minister in the last British Labour government, has been on the front foot with the currency debate and is unlikely to step back.