Deficits, taxation and democracy in Europe
The misinformation that is now widely disseminated across the EU is that the euro and the EU are somehow inextricably linked and one cannot exist without the other.
As I write, European Union leaders are meeting for their 19th emergency meeting. This is the 19th meeting in three years in relation to what is fundamentally the same crisis.
The mantra of “austerity” has been replaced by the mantra of “growth”. The mantra of “more Europe” smacks of communism under another name.
Empty words.
The uselessness of these meetings at European level is only matched by the abysmal ignorance (to be read as meaning lack of knowledge) of the citizens of eurozone countries in relation to what is going on at EU level.
Malta is going through a time period as a result of the eurozone crisis, the world recession and Brussels’s expansionist objectives that could be historic if the powers that be were paying enough attention to notice.
An adverse situation often brings with it an opportunity to reinvent oneself. As a country we have this opportunity now.
The European Union was built on the ideals of a common security policy and free trade. Long live the European Union.
This was not enough for the would-be rulers of the European continent and then came the euro and the eurozone. The misinformation that is now widely disseminated across the EU is that the euro and the EU are somehow inextricably linked and one cannot exist without the other.
It is said that should the euro collapse it would be the end of the EU and in order to save the EU we must do whatever it takes to save the euro. Nothing could be further from the truth.
We are told that we should be ready to sacrifice what we hold most dear to this cause. Trivial matters like our hard-won democracy should also go on the sacrificial altar to save the euro.
Like every good citizen I am overly critical of my country. However I am also fiercely patriotic.
Amid this chaos, Malta should forge its own independent future as one of the many and diverse members of the EU but not slave to any of them, and a master of its own destiny. The diversity within the EU is its strength.
I am more than a little gratified by both the government and opposition in Malta awakening to the threat facing our country and have made definitive statements in defence of our island state.
The fundamental issues are annual government deficits, dangerously high government borrowing levels, and an economy that certainly has all the ingredients to do well but has been robbed of the tools which it would need to prosper.
Every €100 million we lend to Greece and Spain and other sundry bankrupt eurozone countries – which by the way we clearly need to borrow ourselves – add approximately 1.5 per cent to the government’s debt-to-GDP ratio. We have guaranteed €700 million to the bailout effort.
Do the math. If our GDP drops, as it may well do in a recession, the situation would get dramatically worse.
As most eurozone governments are running at a deficit, they are now necessarily borrowing funds in order to lend them to other countries under bailout schemes. Nobody really believes that the countries lending the funds will ever be repaid.
We need to urgently restore a sense of sanity and reason in the way we manage our financial affairs.
Malta’s current debt-to-GDP ratio is already at 72 per cent.
For the benefit of the uninitiated, I would point out that at 80 per cent Malta is in bailout territory. We are sadly following the path already travelled by Greece, Spain, Ireland and Portugal, Cyprus and, dare I say, Italy and France.
That path ends up in bankruptcy and painful bailouts and a further erosion of our democratic rights as central control from Brussels (read Germany and France) takes an even stronger hold.
It would make for a truly historic moment if Malta could see that the solution is actually quite simple.
It is normally the case that it is not solutions that are complicated or difficult to achieve.
Mostly, the difficulty lies in the inability to let go of mental concepts, ideas and pet strategies that one would have been championing as this is perceived as a loss of face or a reflection of having been wrong in the past.
This is a fallacy and an error in logical thinking.
We are all wrong most of the time and sometimes we happen to be right.
This is borne out by overwhelming evidence in everyday life.
Changing stance and strategy when necessary is a mark of wisdom and common sense.
Everything changes all the time. Things get complicated often only to change.
The government needs to cost less and funds should be freed into the hands of entrepreneurs for the latter to invest and create jobs.
Entrepreneurs would increase supply that would create jobs with the resultant increase in consumer spending.
Nothing releases money quicker into corporate bank accounts – thereby laying the foundations for increased productive capacity and growth – than lower taxation.
Lower personal taxation would also stimulate demand.
Entrepreneurs are expert at creating productive capacity and jobs and consumers are expert at spending.
The bold move would be to lower the top income tax rate in Malta for companies and persons alike from 35 per cent to 15 per cent over a four-year period, in steps of five per cent between 2013 to 2016. The deficit would need to be allowed to go above the three per cent of GDP magic threshold for the interim period.
At the end, government coffers will swell as tax compliance would increase dramatically and the government would also have in the meantime implemented some effective good housekeeping measures.
The resulting budget surpluses would then reverse the downward spiral of deficits and of the forever increasing government borrowing.
This would also be a very attractive regime for international business and foreign direct investment (Portman International’s neck of the woods).
“What about the euro?” you may ask.
Hold on, I seem to remember there once was a currency by that name.
Mr Marinelli is chief executive of Portman International.
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David Marinelli
Jul 17th 2012, 13:22
Malta looks upon countries such as Germany, the UK and the US as role models. It appears to be part of our national psyche as a small nation. Joseph's Ellis is more than justified in looking at the statistics for these countries and concluding that Malta's situation is good. Actually it would be more correct to say that Malta's situation is not as bad as Germany's, the UK's or the US's.
The debt to GDP ratio is a balancing act. Forever increasing growth in order to sustain forever increasing debt. History informs us that nothing expands or grows forever. This is an illusion. The larger you blow the balloon the bigger the bang at the end.
It is important, in my view, to remember that history also informs us that no country or institution or empire is too large to fail. If not now, later.
We should also not forget that we have a responsability towards future generations, our children.
David Marinelli
Jul 17th 2012, 12:55
Jonathan Camilleri is right. Malta should not leave the EU ("The European Union was built on the ideals of a common security policy and free trade. Long live the European Union.") This is exactly the argument. It is the common currency that is creating the problem and not the EU. In fact the common Euro currency could well bring down the EU as it is the cause of so much discord amongst EU nations. This bad blood could overspill into other dealings between EU states. Malta's membership of the Eurozone and Malta's membership of the EU (or EC) are two distinct matters.
Jonathan Camilleri
Jul 16th 2012, 23:57
Marinelli is saying that we should forge ahead with our own business models. This reminds me of Charles Theuma, Principal of St Martin's Institute of IT, who in early 2012 resounded a similar sentiment to the Malta Business Bureau, by claiming that the EU had burdened Malta with debt that does not belong to Malta, referring probably to the Greek aid and the relevant EU memberships MG is paying. Is it worth it?
Surely the EC helped Malta quite a bit, and, it might seem like playing truant to have used the funds and now discarding membership from the EC. Ironically, when I used to move on to greener pastures (i.e. increase in wages when moving jobs) recruitment agencies and employers started creating this negative aura around me and people who believed that they work for money, not for fun!
Ironically an entrepreneur is now suggesting that Malta does a stock take - which is overdue in any case - and starts looking into its business models.
What are the private sector doing in the meantime? Are they still stuck on cost-cutting and austerity measures, or have they actually conjured up business models that trigger business growth and are keeping them secret to the public eye for fear of competitiveness.
Nah, we can't be so paranoid, I hope, but really, what kind of business models is Malta going to adopt to make money, and, create wealth for all of us, not just the elite?
Mr Joseph Ellis
Jul 16th 2012, 20:07
Mr Marinelli stated : "Malta’s current debt-to-GDP ratio is already at 72 per cent.
For the benefit of the uninitiated, I would point out that at 80 per cent Malta is in bailout territory. We are sadly following the path already travelled by Greece, Spain, Ireland and Portugal, Cyprus and, dare I say, Italy and France." We are in good company : for 2011, the U.K.'s is 85.7%, Germany's is 81.2%. The U.S. is hovering close to 100% and Japan is over 200 % !
Are these countries all candidates for bail-outs soon ? Rubbish. The key is to stimulate economic growth while clamping down on wasteful spending as Monti is trying to achieve in Italy. The euro zone has to analyze why its political and social model is not delivering on growth and why its competitiveness has fallen behind in most of the countries which make it up. But the U.K. does not seem to hold too many lessons in this respect. And the pitfalls of unbridled liberalization in the financial sector are painfully evident to all of us.
John Azzopoardi
Jul 16th 2012, 11:21
We all keeep talking and talking about austerity and growth. Everything we are doing today in an old mature economy like Europe is just experimenting. The Europe of today is just having bailouts to bail out banks and countries to pay off their debt, but there is no actual real growth taking place. Take for example an announcement last week to cut 8000 jobs from carmaker Peugot. That is a lot of good paying jobs and to be created by what................low paying jobs as road building. Look for example at little malta. There are many jobs, road surfacing/coinstruction, fortification enhancements, etc. But those jobs don't generate revenue. My point in all this is that there is a need for all kind of jobs, but if there are no jobs that generate revenue and create favorable exports at cheap cost, you basically are going to have problems. If Malta for example did not have tourism and it's somewhat robust little financial hub, we will all be in trouble. We also know that our exports are mainly dominated by one company.
Lawrence Fenech
Jul 17th 2012, 05:43
John.
You are right, employment is the thermometer of every country, no improvement can be made before the sacking of thousands of people from their jobs stops and employment starts showing some signs.
ANTHONY PAVIA
Jul 17th 2012, 12:08
Raising productivity may flow from many avenues. Employment for its own sake, as a social service, is a non starter. Look at Greece and learn what not to do. Making grossly underemployed manpower produce a work effort is paramount to increasing national productivity. It is common knowledge that non accountability, as well as electoral forces have rendered useless, good business manpower management within Government employment. Of course, there is always the 10% that work to private sector standards and keep the cogs grinding. Without these hard workers, the public sector would fall completely flat on its face.
Completing projects that embellish and improve the whole environment, like road building, is better than building nonsensical monstrosities in prominent areas. But that is not enough! There is another area that requires strong, determined action. This is the money and energy eater known as (petty) bureaucracy, and of this blight Malta has aplenty. The citizen, on behalf of the private sector, demands that the authorities reduce this sickness to its lowest manageable levels.
David Marinelli
Jul 17th 2012, 15:57
John Azzopardi and Lawrence Fenech have hit the nail on the head. Jobs that create new wealth is what it is about. The taxes paid by entrepreneurs and employees, on the wealth created by these jobs, finance the jobs necessary to maintain society's infrastructure. This is basic financial management and not rocket science.
There is a level in the ratio of tax to income at which this becomes a self sustaining equation and we cannot get away from the fact that lower taxation stimulates supply and demand and kicks off the upward spiral of investments, jobs and growth. A growth that is sustainable as it is not one necessarily based on government spending or debt but one that is based on real productivity.
This, in my view, must be coupled by a large measure of good housekeeping by governments. Common sense informs us that one always has to live within one's means or suffer the consequences.
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