Time for brave decisions
This week has been once again an eventful week with a number of issues overlapping each other. They all point to one direction: There is still a lack of courage to tackle the economic and financial crisis in a number of European Union member states head on.
The United Kingdom is still engulfed in the interest rate rigging scandal which has already forced the resignation of the chief executive officer of Barclays Bank.
This is proof yet again of the speculative activities of a number of financial institutions that continually look for loopholes in the system in order to manipulate it.
There has been the usual outcry that banks need to be controlled better and regulation needs to become stronger. Yet it is not certain that governments will have the courage to implement the sort of banking reform that was asked for when the financial crisis first hit in 2008.
Ireland, which already had to ask for bailout funds from the EU, is starting to experience the impact of the international recession. Unemployment is still at around 15 per cent with no signs of it coming down. Gross government debt is over 100 per cent of the gross domestic product and the economic growth rate is well under one per cent. Exports are dropping and the economic recovery is faltering.
Ireland requires the implementation of the decision taken at the last EU Council that would enable it to offload part of its bank-related debt on to Europe. This implementation is being halted by the opposition from countries like Finland and Austria.
France has had to prepare a supplementary budget to meet its deficit target of 4.5 per cent. The main measures are an increase in wealth taxes and surcharges on banks and energy companies.
There is now a big fear in France that the business sector will continue to lose its competitiveness, thereby creating the possibility of higher unemployment. The socialist government seems afraid to implement reforms that would make the business sector competitive and that would reduce public expenditure.
Given the size of the French economy, this fear is bound to have its impact on the financial markets.
Cyprus is experiencing its own problems, mainly related to their banks’ exposure to the Greek debt and the wrong decisions taken by their communist government.
This week the chief executive of the biggest bank in Cyprus resigned after eight years at the helm.
The communist government has demonised the banks for their investment in Greek government bonds in 2010, hammering their share values to record lows and turning them to junk stocks.
It also embarked on a crusade to blame all the country’s ills on the Central Bank of Cyprus, ignoring its own incompetence in keeping public spending in check.
The government is now trying to sell one of the major banks in the country to Chinese or Russian investors in order to obtain cash to support the public sector which it has been afraid to reform.
In order to revive the stalling EU economy, the European Central Bank cut its interest rate to 0.75 per cent and the rate it pays on overnight deposits to zero per cent.
There is little room for manoeuvre left for the ECB. In any case, monetary policy cannot bring about a long-term change in the main economic fundamentals, namely GDP growth and employment.
It is really now up to the EU governments to act decisively to generate economic growth.
Malta has also been in the thick of things over the fact that it stood alone in disagreeing with the recommendations made by the European Commission aimed at pushing member states in implementing major economic and financial reforms.
As a country we did agree with the proposals to reduce further debt and deficit levels, to reduce the level of early school-leavers, to reduce further the dependence on oil for energy production and to strengthen the banking sector. These are all areas that we have already been working.
On the other hand, we did not agree with the recommendation that Malta should increase the effective retirement age (in spite of the fact that it has already been raised to 65) and the recommendation to restructure the yearly cost of living adjustment − this adjustment is the result of an agreement between all social partners and goes back nearly 20 years.
There needs to be an adjustment in the COLA mechanism which should reflect better labour productivity and should not take into account the prices of imports. Both recommendations are unacceptable to us as they are flawed in their reasoning.
It is understandable that given the international scenario and given the position we have taken in relation to the two recommendations I have just referred to, an element of scepticism about the EU starts to creep in.
However, we should not forget the other benefits that we have reaped as a country from EU membership and membership of the eurozone. This only means that as a country we cannot afford to throw away our expertise in handling EU matters because of petty mindedness.
Just as the economy as a whole benefited from EU membership, the economy as a whole will suffer if wrong decisions are taken now.
This is why we need courage, consistency and clarity in our decision-making and why sitting on the fence is not an option.
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Jonathan Camilleri
Jul 16th 2012, 08:53
I think there needs to be a mechanism which boosts consumption, because that is what drives the economy and free trade economics, without which every nation obviously goes into recession.
Purchasing power influences the consumers' ability and willingness to buy basic and other goods, and, whilst we are still in recession, the other goods and services are expected to remain at low levels. One has to keep in mind that tourists travel to Malta for a few months a year, and, that the Maltese resident whose life depends on the basic wage, remains in Malta for most of the time, usually. Of course, some people travel, live and work abroad, however, what I am suggesting is to boost consumer spending first, rather than going directly to the supply side in a desperate attempt to reduce transaction costs.
How low can you go without affecting productivity itself, due to lack of motivation?
One has to keep in mind that nobody lives on bread and water alone; today we live surrounded by mobile phones, smart phones, and, weekend entertainment is not a luxury but considered a normal way of life. If an entrepreneur plans to reduce that, I am sure his employees are not too satisfied (see Herzberg and Abraham Maslow for theoretical background).
What about firms paying only commission to their sales agents, such as real estate agents? Are they boosting productivity, or simply cutting down on fixed costs with a lovely excuse from all forms of employment protection because sales reps are forced to register as self-employed on a "my way or the highway" kind of business approach?
Does the whole industry work that way? Yes, but why? Doesn't it simply favour the capitalist to work this way?
Isn't it high time that the capitalists and "Jews" who have been earning profit on the productivity of their workforce, give something back to recover what they have caused i.e. economic recessions?
Do you agree?
Jonathan Camilleri
Jul 13th 2012, 21:29
When all the CEO's salaries have been paid, and, all has been said, done, and, money wasted, when does wealth trickle down to the little people?
Jonathan Camilleri
Jul 13th 2012, 20:05
"Malta has also been in the thick of things over the fact that it stood alone in disagreeing with the recommendations made by the European Commission aimed at pushing member states in implementing major economic and financial reforms."
How do you mean?
Do you agree that FTT should be implemented for example?
"There needs to be an adjustment in the COLA mechanism which should reflect better labour productivity and should not take into account the prices of imports. Both recommendations are unacceptable to us as they are flawed in their reasoning."
What do you mean by flawed? Do people living on minimum wage have a social right to a decent standard of living? Did you forget all the motivational theories prescribed by Abraham Maslow?
One has to remember that money revolves around commodities and is intended to serve human beings, not the other way round, although capitalism seems to give a different impression, particularly Western capitalism.
Has anyone considered adjusting the wealth imbalance by adjusting the salaries amongst the classes to create more equality, or, do you just blame the Government for the decay of capitalism, whilst economic theory (Karl Marx) dialectical materialism correctly stated that the multiplier effect has lead to recession, amidst the benefits of capitalism and free market economics?
More concern should be given to social, environmental and political aspects of wealth distribution, not just creatively creating tax holidays and marketing financial incentives for foreign investors. Malta will become an island of nations, and, that is fine by globalization theory, however, globalization has disadvantages as well. For example, the Maltese people may feel that they should have more say over the matters which affect the running of the nation, and, one should not make a public farce out of transparency, in my opinion. For one thing, journalism is highly suggested to be less cosmetic, although a lot of people seem to enjoy triviality.
I do doubt whether EU membership is giving us benefits or otherwise, and it is up to the nation's leaders to review whether we are really benefiting or not. I take this for granted, however, I haven't seen a public statement in this regard. Perhaps politicians are too optimistic, and, we need to ask them more pragmatic questions.
Lawrence Fenech
Jul 13th 2012, 09:46
That's what I am afraid of "brave decisions" as not one of them has been taken in our favour.
Jonathan Camilleri
Jul 14th 2012, 05:57
Yes, I agree, I think everyone should carry their weight, proportionally. Obviously, the people who are being taxed at 35% won't like it.
Leveraging some habits which are considered as luxuries - such as gaming and putting on heavy consumption tax, and, legalizing and taxing alcohol, soft drugs, prostitution etc might contribute as well in my opinion. It would help manage the problem rather than looking away from it at a distance. One has to keep in mind the social aspects of these problems may be better managed if legalized and controlled.
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