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Electricity tariffs set to rise unless global oil prices fall

Oil pumps in operation near Los Angeles, California. The US said it would release more oil from its reserves if necessary, after leading a global drawdown of 60 million barrels due to supply disruptions in the Middle East. Photo: AFP

Oil pumps in operation near Los Angeles, California. The US said it would release more oil from its reserves if necessary, after leading a global drawdown of 60 million barrels due to supply disruptions in the Middle East. Photo: AFP

Electricity bills may rise by 20 to 30 per cent next year if the state-owned energy company buys its oil requirements at current future prices, according to the Finance Ministry.

The situation may become more acute if Enemalta’s losses for this year, currently estimated at €35 million, are recouped from next year’s tariffs.

A spokesman for the Finance Ministry said oil prices have increased substantially over the benchmark on which this year’s tariffs were based.

He added that Enemalta has held back from hedging its fuel requirements for 2012 in the hope that future oil prices start to drop as analysts are predicting.

Enemalta has kept utility tariffs stable for the whole of 2011 as it did last year but the corporation only managed to lock 63 per cent of its oil purchases, with the rest being bought at spot market prices.

Asked why the corporation only hedged part of its oil purchases when it intended to keep tariffs unchanged, the spokesman defen­ded Enemalta’s actions.

“There was no decision to ‘only’ hedge 63 per cent of 2011 oil requirements. Rather, market prices did not give Enemalta the right opportunity to hedge the total amount required since future prices were consistently higher than the targeted amount,” he said, explaining that hedging agreements for 2011 were reached last year.

This has resulted in an estimated loss of €35 million, which, however, the government hopes could be cut down if oil prices for the rest of the year drop.

The oil market has remained volatile, and during the past week prices fell nearly five per cent after the International Energy Agency said it will release 60 million barrels of oil from its reserves to make up for a loss of Libyan exports in global oil markets.

It is this downward trend that Enemalta is looking out for, but today’s prices are still higher than the $79 per barrel on which the tariffs had been worked out.

Hedging oil requirements for 2012 at this stage would still lead to substantially higher utility tariffs since futures (the future price of oil that is locked since companies also buy an insurance premium) are still around 30 per cent higher than the prices on which this year’s tariffs were based.

“The decision not to hedge for 2012 is not a gamble but a serious consideration that if taken now would require an increase in next year’s tariffs by 20 to 30 per cent,” the spokesman said.

He said that Enemalta’s risk management committee was being “prudent” and heeding the advice of international experts, who in the past weeks said there were indications that oil prices “may start to drop due to the sluggish US economy, the prolonged crisis in the EU and the end of quantitive easing (when central banks release more cash onto the markets) in the US”.

A decision to raise utility tariffs would have to be sanctioned by the Malta Resources Authority and consumers are currently paying the highest ever rates for water and electricity consumption.

The high bills have contributed to the erosion of household disposable income and are a major source of concern for families.

Last year, the government mitigated the high tariffs with a one-off bonus that cost the country some €10 million.

This was not repeated this year despite calls by the unions for families to be compensated for rising fuel and gas costs over and above the high utility tariffs.

The government is committed to seek stability in utility prices, even though this does not necessarily mean lower bills. According to the spokesman this can only be achieved if there is an underlying hedging arrangement.

“It is for this reason that the interconnector project is so important, as this will allow us to reduce a significant part of our dependence on the price of oil and purchase energy directly from the market,” he said.

The interconnector project is expected to come on stream in 2013 and will connect Malta to Sicily via an underwater electricity cable.

What is hedging?

Hedging is basically an insurance to lock future oil prices. Enemalta cannot purchase future fuels on spot prices, which reflect the current oil price.

The hedge is taken on the futures, but market volatility means that a hedge can turn out to be either beneficial or detrimental. If oil prices fall lower than the hedge price, Enemalta will have to pay to the bank the difference it could have saved.

What hedging definitely does is keep the price of oil purchases stable so that utility tariffs can be maintained at the same rate.

ksansone@timesofmalta.com

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Chris Mercieca

Jun 27th 2011, 09:46

Iva xi haga irid jivvinta biex jider helu ma nies imma s issa ghadu ma jafx x ha jaghmel!

Christian Abela

Jun 26th 2011, 18:00

:-) ... nicely said !!

A. Borg

Jun 26th 2011, 18:00

Imma l-Gvern tieghek zgur m'ghamilhomx b'xejn! Ara l-paga tieghu ta shabu biz-zieda li taw lilhom innisishom se jaghmlu tajjeb ghal dawn iz-zidiet imma taghna le,habib.

Mr Tony Camilleri

Jun 26th 2011, 15:57

Tony Caruana dawk qed jiswewlna xi 6 miljuni fis-sena u l-ħaddfiema mħallsin mill-Gvern.

Mr C Busuttil

Jun 26th 2011, 16:03

Le Giovan il-problema taf x'inhi li dan il-gvern issa tilef il-boxla ghax biex minghalik li il-poplu ha jibla liz-zejt ghola trid tassew tahseb lil maltin huma bla mohh. U bilhaqq nies konservattivi bhalek mhemmx posthom fil-partit ghax il-partit li konna nemmnu fieh tilef ruhu issa sar partit tal-liberali bla principji u kull fejn kien hemm il-liberali dizastru wara l-iehor ghamlu. Il-labour ta' l-inqas socjalist mhux liberali bla principji ta' xejn.

guido cutajar

Jun 26th 2011, 16:19

Mela tipo ta " Izra u rabbi " jew " Tad Dejma " jew " Ifrex u orqod " .....Mela dawk ma kienux spiccaw meta telaw tal P.Ne....????

A. Borg

Jun 26th 2011, 18:03

Imma biex ta zieda lilu u lil ta madwaru ma tantx kellu bzonn proffesuri habib!

Mr leo attard

Jun 26th 2011, 20:34

Giov,
when it comes to feathering their own nests, the PM has had absolutely no problem. In fact, i think they've done a one helluva job in ensuring their own personal, financial stability.... It's only when it comes to the common Joe's nest that the govt comes up with problems and excuses.... the PM was clairvoyant enough to see 'the dark clouds coming' and call for sacrifices on a widespread basis.... couldn't he be 'clairvoyant' enough to see the sun shine and make hay while it was shining...when oil was at a record low a few years back, he should've taken advantage (but at that time he was busy hedging his salary with honoraria

Philip Hili

Jun 27th 2011, 14:05

@ A. Borg

Sur Borg, taf li meta tirraguna hekk, bhat tfal, ikolli nasal ghal konkluzjoni li li kieku kelkom ftit zejt f'wicckom intom li tafu hafna, ftit ta, imqar QATRA, tigbruha lkoll, kieku ma kienx ikun hemm ghalfejn il-Gvern johrog il-licenzji ghat-thaffir taz-zejt madwar Malta ghax taghkom kien ikun bizzejjed biex tfornu lil Malta biz-zejt li ghanha bzonn!!!!!

Phil Humphries

Jun 26th 2011, 19:07

Oil prices are falling and they are expected to do so (for a while at least) but the government is giving us this bad news now so that we don't start calling for a reduction in our energy bills later in the year.

I predict the Government will issue some good news about energy bills...................... just ahead of the election !

P. Zammit

Jun 26th 2011, 21:23

@ D.Jones ...you should update yourself before posting. The current price of electricity is based on a hedged oil price of 79 US$ / barrel. Today the price of oil is significantly higher .... so , if the price of oil does not fall further, electricity price is going to increase.

Mr Matthew Grima

Jun 27th 2011, 17:32

Don't forget, ministers do not pay bills either.

Mr Stefan Kottmann-Soler

Jun 26th 2011, 17:28

I would love to see the maths, facts and figures here. Even I would like a 50% reduction.

Mr Joe Gatt

Jun 27th 2011, 01:45

Mr Stefan Kottmann-Soler

According to Mr Pawlu Aguis below, quote
`My panels are of rating 230W and multiplied by 8, I am currently generating about 11 units per day, which whey multiplied by 365 days should make at least about 3000units/year (considering shorter and cloundy days in winter). Should I make solar tracking, it could be that I generate 60% more, namely 4800units/year. If I add surrounding mirrors (at 45o angle) it is possible to double this amount (assuming they will not overheat), namely to 9000/year (see website of http://www.ws-energia.com/)`

Euro 100,000,000 Unnecessary New Parliament.
Euro 4,000,000 Useless Bridge from Nowhere to Nowhere.
Total Euro 104,000,000
Solar Panels Qty 8 Euro 6,000
Equates to approx. 17,334 Solar Installations @ 11 Units per day = avrg of 190,784 Unit per day.
For an enhanced units + 60% = 305,254 KWatts per day Green Energy.

Note- The Japanese will release on the Market, affordable enhanced Panels with Mirrors and Water Cooling/Water heating next August. This is to make up to the recent loss of their Nuclear Power Stations

P. Zammit

Jun 27th 2011, 00:24

What Planet are YOU living in ??? Can't you understand that current electricity price is based on oil prices which were bought at 79 US$ / barrel ? ..and the link you posted indicates oil at 93 US$ / barrel ?
So difficult to understand ?

Mr Michael Galea

Jun 26th 2011, 13:02

@ Mr A Vella Read This:
"World oil prices fall sharply" 23-06-2011
http://www.timesofmalta.com/articles/view/20110623/world/world-oil-prices-fall-sharply.372096

Kenneth Galea

Jun 26th 2011, 13:22

Election is scheduled to take place in March 2013 whether you like it or not. Unless Malta is on par with Portugal, Spain and Greece then I would agree with you but we are not.
Whatever it is done, tgergir biss. If the roads are being built from scratch and repaired people are moaning about traffic congestion and this is for the benefit to all Maltese citizens.
Let's go back to the eighties era, that is what most of you seem to want. Some people have not moved on.

Mr C Busuttil

Jun 26th 2011, 14:47

Kenneth Galea

No I don't want the 80's back but in 2011 I want to lead a decent life while this government is squandering millions on useless projects like the removal of citygate or a roofless theatre. I have all the dam right to complain if this government has the money to finance stupid projects while it intends to raise tariffs on electricity. Bisazza str is another example of a useless project it was definitely not for the people of Sliema since Sliema has an overwhelming old population and most of them can hardly even walk it to Bisazza str.
Even the labour gov of the 80's didn't have the arrogance to give themselves a pay raise such as the one done by the present government.
However since you mentioned the 80's yes there's a resemblence you can feel that same atmosphere that the country is looking forward to make a change. As a lifelong PN voter I will not vote for my party this time nor for labour however if the tariffs are increased I will have no doubts and vote labour.

Joseph Borg

Jun 26th 2011, 11:41

Tinkwitax habib ghax bi tminn pannelli qatt mint ser tggenera 4800 units, l-anqas 3000 u naf x`qed nghid.

Joseph Borg

Jun 26th 2011, 11:43

Tithallas bi 25c sa 3000 units fis-sena.

Joseph Borg

Jun 26th 2011, 11:49

Il-prezz ta`25c (Malta) (28c Ghawdwx) iggenerat mill PV ghall 3000 units fis-sena huma garantit ghall 8 snin, irrelavanti x`jigri mill prezzijiet futuri, l-fuq u l-isfel.

Mr Pawlu Agius

Jun 26th 2011, 12:14

From Enemalta website: http://www.enemalta.com.mt/index.aspx?cat=7&art=16
" As regards the FIT, the rate applicable for the 2010 call for applications was that of €0.25 for Malta and €0.28 for Gozo.
The FIT for this scheme is guaranteed for 8 years and the maximum export at the FIT is 4800kWhr/year. Any excess electricity produced will then be paid at the marginal cost of electricity (the marginal cost for 2010 was that of 0.11€/kWh)."
My panels are of rating 230W and multiplied by 8, I am currently generating about 11 units per day, which whey multiplied by 365 days should make at least about 3000units/year (considering shorter and cloundy days in winter). Should I make solar tracking, it could be that I generate 60% more, namely 4800units/year. If I add surrounding mirrors (at 45o angle) it is possible to double this amount (assuming they will not overheat), namely to 9000/year (see website of http://www.ws-energia.com/)

J. Schembri

Jun 26th 2011, 09:57

Gherf tas-salamun tal Bott.
Hawn xi hadd jaf x’se jigri nhar it-tnejn u l-konsegwenzi ta’ wara?

Jekk joghla z-zejt u jinzel il-kont tad-dawl nispiccaw bhal-Griegi.

Mrs Alice Lodge

Jun 26th 2011, 10:45

As I live in another country I'm not personally affected but I would certainly lose confidence in a company that did not check how the word would sound as it's read. Couldn't anyone see how ridiculous it looks? comical really, reminds one of some medical emergency!! If they had spelt the company name with a capital E and capital M......EneMalta, well now that's a different ballgame.

Reuben Abela

Jun 26th 2011, 10:37

i can assure you the trend for the last 2 years was that the price of oil is going up, maybe the "low" you heard about is the lowest since april this year....

here's a graph i just drawn of the oil price history

http://img225.imageshack.us/img225/9193/oilo.png

J. Schembri

Jun 26th 2011, 17:08

She heard it at the grocery store, and the oil was sunflower oil maybe.

Elaine Compagno

Jun 26th 2011, 21:47

Very funny J. Schembri.

http://www.reuters.com/article/2011/06/23/us-markets-oil-idUSTRE7592LE20110623

Mr Anthony Mifsud

Jun 26th 2011, 09:57

prices go only up, not down in this country!

Carmel Xuereb

Jun 26th 2011, 09:08

Mela ma tafx li t-telf (tberbieq) ta' flus ta'din is-sena rridu nhalushom jiena u inti, mhux hekk jaghmel l-Ministru Tonio ma jmurx irrahhaslek il-kontijiet lanqas jekk barmil zejt jig $50 ma jrahhas iz-zejt ghax inkella ma jibqax flus bies hu u shabu jiehud €500 kull gimgha. Ara lil dawk Dan l-gharef Ministru ma jghidilhomx CWIEC MALTIN ghax vera mhumiex CWIEC. Cwiec jiena u inti li noqghodu ghad-daqqiet li qed ifajrulan bil-prezzijiet gholjin ta' kollox, dawl, ilma, petrol, diesel, gass, gholi tal-hajja u issa biex tghaxxaqha anke l-prezzijiet tal-karozzi tal-linja ta' l-Arriva ser ikunu mas-sema. Ara kif nistghu nkampaw ahna li ghandna paga minima jew penzjonanti f'din is-sitwazzjoni.

Kev Samut

Jun 26th 2011, 09:22

They already said this (see below pls)so water and electricity will never go down,they got the ball in their own hands my friend.
"The situation may become more acute if Enemalta’s losses for this year, currently estimated at €35 million, are recouped from next year’s tariffs."

Patrick Mulholland

Jun 26th 2011, 09:29

We pay the price for incompetent managers and puppets!!

Joseph Borg

Jun 26th 2011, 11:31

F`pajjizna ma jezistix DOWN my friend, UP and UP biss ghalina l-fidili.

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