Climate change: Malta could see shifts in crop suitability
Malta and other southern European countries could see shifts in crop suitability as a result of climate change, according to an EU draft paper.
Uneven effects of climate change on agriculture are likely to amplify regional differences across the European Union,and farmers are being urged to think how to adapt to warming, the European Commission said.
Here are the main potential effects of climate change for agriculture in the EU's regions, as summarised in the Commission's draft paper to be published next month.
SOUTHERN AND SOUTHEASTERN EU:
Bulgaria, Cyprus, Greece, Italy, Malta, Portugal, Slovenia, Spain, southern France and southern Romania.
- will feel the combined effect of large temperature rises and reduced rainfall in irrigation-dependent areas that already face water scarcity.
- Iberian peninsula: annual rainfall may drop by up to 40 percent compared with current levels by the end of the century.
- by 2050, there could be shifts in crop suitability -- such as spring crops -- from southern areas to higher latitudes as climate changes continue.
CONTINENTAL EU
Austria, Czech Republic, Hungary, Poland, Slovakia, northern Romania, southern/eastern Germany.
- models predict rainfall increases during winter and the possibility of large reductions in summer rainfall in several areas such as Hungary and northern Romania.
- climate variability likely to increase; farming activities likely to be affected by high temperatures and summer droughts, higher risk of soil erosion, migration of pests and diseases.
- regions such as Poland, Czech Republic and eastern Germany may see longer growing seasons that will increase yields and the range of crops.
WESTERN/ATLANTIC AREAS OF EU
Belgium, Denmark, Germany, Ireland, Luxembourg, Netherlands, United Kingdom, western/northern France.
- predicted mean temperature increases are more moderate than for other regions.
- extreme events (heavy storms, floods) likely to become more frequent due to warmer temperatures and higher volume/intensity of rainfall, particularly in winter.
- summers likely to be drier and hotter. This could lead to conflicting demands between agriculture and other users for access to reduced water supplies.
- one of the greatest problems may be rising sea levels that affect low-lying and productive farmland in eastern England, the North Sea coasts of Belgium, Netherlands and Germany.
NORTHERN AREAS OF EU Estonia, Finland, Latvia, Lithuania, Sweden.
- violent storms, flash floods with higher and more intense rainfall to be expected, particularly in winter and especially in northernmost regions like Sweden and Finland.
- it may be possible to cultivate new crops due to longer growing seasons. Yields could also increase substantially if warming is limited (less than 3 degrees Celsius).
- agricultural production could suffer from new pests and diseases, which would benefit from warmer conditions.
- warming could also aggravate water quality problems in Baltic Sea.
- permafrost melting due to warming likely to pose a concern for soil structure.
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Alex Ellul
Mar 16th 2009, 23:50
More Than 700 International Scientists Dissent Over Man-Made Global Warming Claims:
http://www.epw.senate.gov/public/index.cfm?FuseAction=Minority.Blogs&ContentRecord_id=10fe77b0-802a-23ad-4df1-fc38ed4f85e3
Dr Willie Soon, an astrophysicist at Harvard writes:
“The most recent scientific evidence shows that even small changes in solar radiation have a strong effect on Earth’s temperature and climate. In 2005, I demonstrated a surprisingly strong correlation between solar radiation and temperatures in the Arctic over the past 130 years. Since then, I have demonstrated similar correlations in all the regions surrounding the Arctic, including the US mainland and China.”
“There is no such match between the steady rise in atmospheric CO2 concentration and the often dramatic ups and downs of surface temperatures in and around the Arctic. I recently discovered direct evidence that changes in solar activity have influenced what has been called the “conveyor-belt” circulation of the great Atlantic Ocean currents over the past 240 years. For instance, solar-driven changes in temperature, and in the volume of freshwater output from the Arctic, cause variations in sea surface temperature in the tropical Atlantic 5-20 years later.
Alex Ellul
Mar 16th 2009, 23:44
@all those who believe that the planet is heating up due to human activity:
This planet experienced various bouts of warmings: Roman, Medieval, 20th century. These were all natural. During the Roman-times and during the medieval-period we did not burn oil and coal, still the planet warmed up and the vikings were planting corn and brewing beer in Greenland, while the planet was on average some 2 degrees warmer than it is now. Furthermore, these warmings produced more food and therefore a big boost to human civilisation; the Roman period and the medieval resurgence. Contrarywise, the Little Ice Age (about when the Knights came to Malta) produced famine and wars in Europe.
Carbon Dioxide gas does not cause global warming. The warmings follow decades of increased solar activity while cold periods are caused by solar minima. In fact, scientific reports prove that the increase in CO2 gas is the effect of warmer seas releasing CO2 that is normally dissolved in the ocean waters. The oceans hold about 50 times more CO2 gas than the atmosphere, hence a slight increase in sea temperatures causes a vast amount of CO2 gas released into the air, just like a warm bottle of champaine.
cassar i
Mar 16th 2009, 22:40
it should read crap not crop. Give us a break
a attard
Mar 16th 2009, 21:16
@ Paul Barret.
While its positive to have lower heating bills the cooling bills of Summer might go up considerably so not much of a consolation there :)....
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anyways climate change is very much real and I dont think ALL scientists are bribed to get a slice of some tax revenue!. A single cold spell or a single heatwave does not say anything, its a very long trend that does. With all the population growth world craving energy for basic modern needs the cutting down of forest its not hard to understand. In todays case which is Global warming (as there can be times when it can be Global cooling) is a porcess that takes hundreds of years before the effects are felt.
As someone already stated, irrelevant if natural or man made, higher temperatures mean more water evaporation from the seas and oceans and more intensity in rainfall in some areas and probably stronger wind force. This already a reality in Malta. I think lots of records have been broken in the past 10 years in this regards on a global scale - why anything to do with the general environment needs to be regularly politisied?
Alex Ellul
Mar 16th 2009, 20:10
He who rules energy rules the world. The UN is trying to rule the world by controlling energy...... But time will prove Anthropogenic global warming a BIG hoax.
Ryan Dalli
Mar 16th 2009, 20:03
Although I'm far from being an expert, I find it logical, that due to extreme heat in Summer, increases evaporation on water from the seas, therefore more clouds and rain - lack of sun results in a cold Winter. Climate change is not only about extreme heat, but it is about extremism. It's quite logical.
Guze Xerri
Mar 16th 2009, 19:37
Right on Reg, This is used by the New World Order as a way to tax us and to intrude into our lives. I am sure in the next few years the UN Green Police will be doing mandatory home inspections in Europe and North America and if we do not fit the bill, we will be fined and even our houses will be confiscated. A nice clever fascist/communist way to get people not to own real property. No one talks about the ice caps on Mars shrinking, those Martians better stop driving those Land Rovers.
R. Caruana
Mar 16th 2009, 19:36
Agree with you completely Mr Fitzpatrick. It would appear that there is a cycle of a certain number of years, probably as long as 50 years. I remember such a cold winter when I was a kid, with another very cold year around the early 70s. During the latter I witnesses a very light fall of something very similar to snow - definitely not small hail because one could see it float down. It will probably be another cold winter next year and then start ot get warmer on average.
Paul Barrett
Mar 16th 2009, 19:31
Does not sound too bad to me - all doom and gloom - look on the bright side, less heating bills :-)
Emanuel Vella
Mar 16th 2009, 19:30
The worst way to interpret climate change brought about by global warming is to simplistically assume that it is manifested by warm spells only. As we wreak havoc with established climate patterns, cold spells could be a side effect. Furthermore we must distinguish between climate and weather. While the long term phenomenon is climate the short term effect is weather. You do not decide for or against global warming by singling out weeks of cold and warm spells but by studying long term trends in measured global temperatures. The trend data available for all to see singularly points out to increased global temperatures caused by increased quantities of greenhouse gases being released into the atmosphere by human industrial activity and exacerbated by continued deforestation which reduces the planet's capacity to reabsorb atmospheric carbon dioxide back into plant tissue.
Reg Fitzpatrick
Mar 16th 2009, 19:15
Climate Change??? What utter rubbish! We have just been through the coldest three months for many years here in Malta. My daughters and their families, living in the UK think they are in the Artic Circle! This is just another way of distracting the world population from real issues like the mess the banks are in.