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Financial crisis 'immense opportunity' for real estate

Owners of vacant property should be given incentives to put their property on the market, not have their assets taxed, according to the real estate section of the Chamber of Commerce and Enterprise.

Economic consultant Gordon Cordina, who was commissioned to conduct a report on the situation, noted that a decline in real estate prices would have adverse consequences on the sector and the economy, and the significant amount of vacant properties could underpin this threat.

However, this factor could be turned into a notable economic opportunity if there was a specific focus on enticing international demand for property in Malta.

His report said that if vacant residences in holiday areas were sold over 15 years, this would generate inflows from abroad averaging about €150 million a year in the case of flats, and some €250 million a year for all the property taken together.

"Such inflows would have an important multiplier effect in the economy, affecting not least government revenue," Dr Cordina said at a press conference, where chamber section president Trevor Busuttil yesterday presented proposals to the government for the upcoming budget.

The report, which analyses the contribution of the real estate sector to the Maltese economy, proposes a number of policy initiatives.

Mr Busuttil said the section believed that, although the government's proposed rent reform was a step in the right direction, it would not solve the housing affordability situation people faced today.

Presenting his findings, Dr Cordina said the real estate sector in Malta generated around 12.5 per cent of GDP and seven per cent of employment, directly and through activities closely related to it.

He noted that real estate prices had increased significantly in 2004 and 2005, with a period of correction featuring moderate price increases in 2006 and last year. A moderate decline in activity was also noted in recent years.

Dr Cordina said the current financial crisis opened up immense opportunities for the real estate sector, as it made property in Malta a better and sounder investment for both locals and foreigners.

The government, he said, should ensure it keeps supporting and facilitating the property market through the appropriate fiscal and regulatory policies.

A decline in the price of real estate in Malta would have serious adverse consequences not only on the sector but on the economy as a whole, he warned.

Dr Cordina also highlighted the persistent problem of housing affordability, which mainly affects first-time buyers.

While calling for measures directed at this specific segment, the report stressed that these measures should not introduce elements of uncertainty which would further dent the potentially fragile situation of the market.

He emphasised that the development of the international market for real estate in Malta would not impact negatively on housing affordability, because of the separate natures of these two market segments.

Proposals made by the section include a reconsideration of the system of taxation of capital gains on real estate transactions, of the regulatory framework on the letting out of property in Malta by foreigners, and of other conditions governing the real estate rental market in Malta.

In order to secure a properly functioning market that is attractive to investors, including international ones, the section recommended that the system of capital gains on real estate be rendered a flat 15 per cent on realised profits.

Otherwise a second best option that could be contemplated was an extension of the five-year period applying to the option of the use of the profits-based tax system.

Another suggestion is to remove unnecessary fees and restrictions on the letting of real estate by foreigners in Malta.

The introduction of a favourable tax regime in the rental market was also recommended to enhance the efficiency of the real estate sector and its economic contribution.

Dr Cordina said that, while these measures could have a considerable negative effect on government revenue, from a static perspective they presented a significant potential for long-term benefits, particularly arising out of the sale of vacant property to foreigners.

A potential growth in GDP of between 0.8 per cent and 2.9 per cent a year would be expected through the sale of part of the vacant real estate stock to foreigners, together with the creation of between 300 and 1,200 jobs, with government revenue rising by at least €30 million a year on a net basis.

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Comments

Ed Hardy (on 11/10/08)
The priority for Malta should be to ensure affordable housing for families in Malta, thus ensuring the stability of the Maltese population.
To see gain or revenue as the number one priority is short-sighted and a defeat for the people of Malta. Short-term gain, long-term pain. Who does the government serve – the real estate market or the ordinary people who live in the country? The future of the country depends on getting this right.
B Sant (on 11/10/08)
But why we always have to ask the state to assist!!!! Economist should know better ,
So here the middle income class is being asked to subsidise (through our taxes) the profit of speculators who took their big bets some years ago. And yes property contributes a lot to GDP, but this is spread among a few businessmen and not across the whole population sector. So to keep our country's balance sheet looking better we will subsidise it even more.

My proposal: Reduce the withholding tax on interest on all income earned from banks and other investments. This will definitely contribute to a healthier multiplier effect on the economy. Money would be released from property and reinvested in the economy coz other investments will be more attractive. Speculators will build less and our state of environment will improve
P Borg (on 11/10/08)
"Dr Cordina said the current financial crisis opened up immense opportunities for the real estate sector, as it made property in Malta a better and sounder investment for both locals and foreigners."

I would have thought that Dr Cordina reads financial newspapers. The current global financial crisis has its roots in the property market, which was a bubble which finally burst!! He who invests in property right now must be a mad man as I suspect that a similar situation, but on a smaller scale, will happen in Malta! Just look at the big number of vacant property (especially flats and apartments) around the islands, the shrinking demand (including international demand due to the crisis) and the number of banks pressing on contractors to pay their dues + interest. Then you'll see what opportunities are in line for you!
F.bartolo F.bartolo (on 11/10/08)
Yes i definitly agree with @i.Galea DO NOT REMOVE TAX from the foreigners who are hoping to make a quick buck and at the same time our youngsters are struggling to invest in their new home.. this way the maltese will stand more of a chance, after all we pay tax in their country an example is Spain., but then again who the hell wants to live in Spain i may ask?
a.dalli (on 11/10/08)
What incentives.. ............
How about cutting on speculation.............
If salaries had increased in tune with the property (soon to burst bubble) no qualms there.
But when salaries remained what they were, for years on end - the normal average wage earner could not afford to acquire a property - unless both partners work for many many years with a part time job each.
Yes let the property crumble - incentives would mean part of our tax contribution going their way. In the USA unoccupied buildings are usually pulled down.
J.Bonnici (on 11/10/08)
Dream on, Gordon.
Iris Azzopardi (on 11/10/08)
With all due respect for Dr Cordina, I cannot understand how the current international crisis is an 'immense opportunity' for local real estate.
How can someone whose first residence is declining in value by the hour, whose stock exchange investments have halved in value, whose local bank is being nationalised to stave off a collapse, and who is unable to obtain credit, buy a holiday home abroad?
l Galea (on 11/10/08)
The report is a clear example of the saying, "he who pays the piper calls the tune".

STOP further buildings and the destruction of Malta and our environment greedy misers.

Do NOT remove tax for foreigners since they will exacerbate the problem for our youths who are just starting life and cannot afford to compete with our miserly wages.
Clifford Davies (on 11/10/08)
As a foreigner in Malta, i will not and also advise my friends back home NOT to buy or invest into any properties in Malta or Gozo, because for a simple reason it will never be sold and its just wasting and rotting away in this lovely sun. its far better to rent at long let and then one is free to come and go at any given time, remember now we are in the eec rules and regulations are coming out everyday, and believe you me they are not in our favour, all captial gains has got to be declared and now a days all eec banks work and converse together, so TOM-DICK & Harry knows all your business as in big brother is watching you, so why invest unless you want to spend all the investments up in the clouds when the time comes, there are no Tescos or C&A upthere all you'll take with you is your pyjames- a suit and a wooden box. just trying to cheer you up. no seriously its best to enjoy what you got and help your fellow man .
J Farrugia (on 11/10/08)
What incentives do these people want for them to sell their property? They should sell it according to the market which is a minus 50% of present prices. Who is that idiot who purchases an old rundown property in a central location for Lm60,000 to pull it down and rebuild it for another Lm60,000. Would it cost Lm120,000 to sell? and to whom will they sell it? to john worker with an annual income of Lm5,000 not cutting what to eat and drink and utilities? The people will buy an honest amount for such property but in the Lm5,000 bracket. No one in his proper senses will want to buy rundown property for such hefty sums. It's the proprietors themselves who are to blame for their greed in wanting exorbitant prices. Let them keep them for rats and insects. but not for us the workers. Even the Housing Authority is now accusing these people of wanting to get rich at the people's expense. No way will they get this type of incentives. Let them work for it like we do.
Paul Barrett (on 11/10/08)
I must be really thick - I thought house prices world wide were falling at an alarming rate leaving those with large mortgages that they are unable to keep up payments for, stuck in negative equity (the property being reclaimed or sold at a vastly cheaper rate than that of purchase). The purchaser therefore ends up owing thousands to clear the mortgage but no property.

With house prices elsewhere now getting into the zone of good value for money and still falling, it seems unlikely that foreigners would flock to Malta to purchase vastly inflated property prices.
J Portelli (on 11/10/08)
I have one point I would like to aim at the fellow, who wrote this report. If you lower, or eliminate the capital gains tax on real estate, that will make investing in real estate more economically profitable. That would divert capital from investing in financial products, to real estate, which would in turn incentivise more real estate speculation , and more building - which got us into this mess to bin with!!!. The problem Mr. Consultant - is a simple one! TOO MUCH SUPPLY!! AS IN 60,000. Why don' t you recommend some regulation, that will limit over development . Why doesn't MEPA become a bit more discriminating when they hand out the building permits? Please no more give aways to greedy speculators that got us into this real estate glut.

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