
Saturday, 31st May 2008
Labour leadership race
Survey names Muscat and Abela as top favourites
A survey by Xarabank released during yesterday's edition of the show indicates that the majority of the Maltese believe the two contestants who have the greatest chance of becoming leader of the MLP and to lead the party to victory in the next general election are George Abela and Joseph Muscat.
Dr Muscat is perceived to have wider support within the MLP than Dr Abela. On the other hand, Dr Abela is seen to have the best chance of returning the party to government, followed by Dr Muscat.
Dr Muscat seems to enjoy a higher level of support among those who call themselves Labourites and is also in the lead among those respondents who did not want to disclose their political affiliation.
Dr Abela leads in the rest of the categories with a majority of floating voters and Nationalists who think he has the best chance to return the MLP to office.







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Comments
This survey, unlike others that preceded it reveals that Joseph Muscat has the highest support amongst floating voters from all the 5 contenders.
Moreover I have my doubts whether 50% of all Nationalist voters in the country will automatically change their vote in favor of MLP if George Abela is elected leader. Let us assume that 10% of them will vote for MLP: that means that George Abela is not as strong as he is perceived to be.
However I still value George Abela as a very strong contender and coupled with Joseph Muscat as leader they would make one hell of a team.
Indeed, I find them as an annoying - but legitimate - outside influence on the delegates themselves.
I must - furthermore - note that when Dr. Fenech Adami stepped down, I didn't see all this frenzy to predict the next PN leader... Maybe the meetings at Girgenti ensured of this?